{"id":1508,"date":"2009-12-14T06:14:23","date_gmt":"2009-12-14T11:14:23","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/esr.ibiblio.org\/?p=1508"},"modified":"2010-07-18T20:07:25","modified_gmt":"2010-07-19T01:07:25","slug":"hiding-the-facts-in-plain-sight","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/esr.ibiblio.org\/?p=1508","title":{"rendered":"Hiding the facts in plain sight"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>OK, this is lovely.  Remember Phil Jones of the CRU saying they had retained only &#8220;homogenized, value-added&#8221; data rather than raw measurements?  It seems that well before the CRU leak there was  <a href=\"http:\/\/www.climate-skeptic.com\/2009\/11\/yet-more-stuff-we-always-suspected-but-its-nice-to-have-proof.html\">strong circumstantial evidence<\/a> that much (perhaps all) of the supposed global-warming signal is accounted for by &#8220;adjustments&#8221; made to the data.<\/p>\n<p><!--more--><\/p>\n<p>Get a load of this graphic:<\/p>\n<p><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"http:\/\/www.coyoteblog.com\/photos\/uncategorized\/2007\/07\/30\/ushcn_corrections.gif\"\/><\/p>\n<p>This is the NOAA (National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration) telling us itself what the &#8220;adjustments&#8221; do to the U.S historical temperature record.  If you look over at the scale on the left, you&#8217;ll see that these &#8220;adjustments&#8221; explain about <s>80%<\/s> 50% of the supposed global-warming signal between 1900 and 2000.<\/p>\n<p>Gee, does that shape look&#8230;familiar?  Why, yes.  Yes it does.  The Climate Skeptic post I lifted this from reproduces my plot of the  &#8220;VERY ARTIFICAL correction for decline!!&#8221;.  It&#8217;s possible to make too much of the similarity, I think; the &#8220;decline&#8221; that VERY ARTIFICAL was &#8220;correcting&#8221; for was in tree-ring proxies for temperature, not measured ground temperature.  <\/p>\n<p>Still&#8230;isn&#8217;t it curious that every time we dig into the supposedly &#8220;value added, homogenized&#8221; data, we find a similar pattern of &#8220;adjustments&#8221; in that oh-so-familiar hockey-stick shape?<\/p>\n<p>Why, it&#8217;s almost as if the people doing the &#8220;adjusting&#8221; imposed their preconceptions on the data, fixing it to conform to pet theories that just happen to be lucrative funding sources as well.  But, no, that could <em>never<\/em> happen, could it?     <\/p>\n<p>UPDATE: Estimate of error changed from 80% to 50% because the scale is Fahrenheit.  I waited to do this until I could get an AGW alarmist to commit to a specific correction, so I couldn&#8217;t be accused of shading the number to favor a skeptical position.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>OK, this is lovely. Remember Phil Jones of the CRU saying they had retained only &#8220;homogenized, value-added&#8221; data rather than raw measurements? It seems that well before the CRU leak there was strong circumstantial evidence that much (perhaps all) of the supposed global-warming signal is accounted for by &#8220;adjustments&#8221; made to the data.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7,11],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1508","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-politics","category-science","entry"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/esr.ibiblio.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1508","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/esr.ibiblio.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/esr.ibiblio.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/esr.ibiblio.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/esr.ibiblio.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=1508"}],"version-history":[{"count":10,"href":"http:\/\/esr.ibiblio.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1508\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2227,"href":"http:\/\/esr.ibiblio.org\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1508\/revisions\/2227"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/esr.ibiblio.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=1508"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/esr.ibiblio.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=1508"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/esr.ibiblio.org\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=1508"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}